Sky Sports expert – Arsenal flakiness, lack of confidence, backing Newcastle United to secure first win


Sky Sports’ “Jones Knows” column gave excellent analysis and commentary on what is happening at Newcastle United right now.

The column makes predictions on what will happen in certain Premier League games and also discusses other issues / issues in clubs.

However, unlike the usual predictions of ex-pros, which are usually based simply on the ‘size’ of a club and whether or not they won the previous game, this one has proper analysis and insight, not lazy assumptions.

Sky Sports’ “Jones Knows” column examines the games from a betting perspective and focused on Newcastle’s game against Arsenal.

Lewis Jones (who is the Sky Sports expert behind the ‘Jones Knows’ column) has highlighted some major underlying factors that could / should have a big impact on this Arsenal game against Newcastle.

With the home side his analysis is as follows: “I really liked what I’ve seen of Arteta’s boys in the patches this season – the first halves against Aston Villa and Leicester were in the top four performances. However, this is a young side – the youngest average starting XI in the Premier League. Flakes are expected. This was demonstrated by a 2-0 loss to Brentford, as well as a 2 draw. -2 at home against Palace where Arsenal only scored one point due to a 95th-minute goal.While the Gunners had a considerable fortune on their side, scoring 1-0 victories over the last five , Watford, Norwich and Burnley.

As for visitors, the Sky Sports expert believes “Newcastle to win their first game this season is worth it”.

Seeking to save this point of view, the Sky Sports man says:

“Before Eddie Howe took power, Newcastle in the last five games had averaged just 6.5 shots per 90 minutes, an expected goalscoring figure of 0.57 and four corners. That climbed to 23 shots, an expected goalscoring record of 1.76 and eight 3-3 corners with Brentford, who has been one of the Premier League’s most effective defenses this season. Howe likes his side to play gradually and well. it is still early to draw radical conclusions, it was an encouraging start. ‘

In the top half of the table only one team have conceded more goals than Arsenal, while with Newcastle United I think Steve Bruce made this NUFC squad / squad look much worse than they are in reality. His ultra negative tactics and his often questionable team building, so often lending a hand to the opposition, not to mention the too short time spent on the training ground.

A number of Newcastle players have already come out and have said how much better and more intensive training has been since Eddie Howe took over, with NUFC players saying fitness levels plummeted under Steve Bruce, with the “plan” of trying to defend for the vast majority of every game helps those fitness levels not be what they could / should be.

As the Sky Sports expert points out, Newcastle’s attack threat was on a whole different level last week against Brentford compared to what had been the case before, moreover, Brentford entered this game with only Southampton teams in the lower half of the table having conceded fewer goals.

Sky Sports – Paris Expert “Jones knows” predicts what will happen with Arsenal against Newcastle:

It was a huge reality check for Arsenal at Liverpool last weekend.

A 4-0 beating identified how far Mikel Arteta’s side are from the top three Premier League sides. They are back in calmer waters on Saturday with a visit from Newcastle and the market expects them to win quite comfortably, with 4/9 with Sky Bet on offer for a home win.

This is a very dangerous prize, especially for those who prepare an accumulator and get involved in the start of the game.

I really liked what I’ve seen of Arteta’s boys in the patches this season – the first halves against Aston Villa and Leicester were among the top four performances. However, they are a young side – the youngest middle starting XI in the Premier League. Flakes are expected.

Naturally, this will bring inconsistent results.

I can’t trust them in this game against a team that looked refreshed and motivated against Brentford and has some real quality in the final third with Callum Wilson and Allan Saint-Maximin. I think the 11/2 with Sky Bet for Newcastle to win their first game this season is worth it.

Before Eddie Howe took over, Newcastle over the last five games had averaged just 6.5 shots per 90 minutes, an expected goalscoring figure of 0.57 and four corners. That climbed to 23 shots, an expected goalscoring record of 1.76 and eight 3-3 corners with Brentford, who has been one of the Premier League’s most effective defenses this season. Howe likes his team to play incrementally and while it’s still early days to draw any drastic conclusions it was an encouraging start.

I wouldn’t discourage people from taking Newcastle on the double chance (to win or draw) at 15/8 with Sky Bet, but their defensive record is appalling so I have confidence issues there. I prefer to head to the plans and corners market for a place of value.

Arsenal have conceded nearly six corners every 90 minutes this season, including four or more in 10 of their 12 Premier League appearances this season. With Howe’s men likely to attack, 11/8 for them to win five or more corners seems the way to go.

SCORE PREDICTION: Arsenal 1 Newcastle 2

BETTING ANGLE: Newcastle will win five or more corners (11/8 with Sky Bet) ”


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